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Biden selection gives a shocking bounce
By John L. Rothra | August 27, 2008 | Commentary, John McCain 2008
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It is traditional for a presidential candidate to receive a bounce in the polls after announcing their vice presidential running mate. John McCain’s campaign sent out a memo anticipating a 5-point bounce for Barack Obama after he announced his running mate (at the time it was not known whom he would choose).
According to the Gallup tracking poll, Obama’s announcement of Joe Biden did provide a bounce . . . to McCain! According to the poll, McCain now leads Obama 46-44, the first time he has led in that poll. This follows in the wake of the Reuters/Zogby poll that gives McCain a 5-point lead over Obama. According to Real Clear Politics’ (RCP) average (which does not include the Zogby poll), McCain trails Obama by only 1.7 points. Something that is noticeable in the RCP data is that the most recent polls show McCain tied or leading!
One could say that Obama really is a candidate of change: he’s changing the tradition from receiving a bounce to giving one away.
The message is slowly getting out that John McCain is the right choice to lead our nation. Obama’s vision of socialized medicine and higher taxes is not the direction people want to go. With nearly every speech, Obama exhibits his mastery of eloquence and rhetorical skill. Nevertheless, his ideas are lofty but shallow; they are a mile wide and an inch deep.
Despite the recent bump for McCain, it is very likely that Obama will regain his lead after the convention, receiving probably between a 12-17 point bounce. However, that bounce need only be temporary. The way to ensure it does not last is for Republicans to continue to unite, spread the message of hope, and work hard to ensure the next president to be sworn in is named McCain.
To learn how you can help the Republicans this November just call, email, or drop by the headquarters. Time is short and there is much work to be done and together we can be victorious!
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